Global Govt-19 death toll could be ‘three times higher than official figures’ | World News

The Govt-19 epidemic could have claimed 18.2 million lives worldwide, more than three times the official death toll, according to a new study.

The highest number is the best estimate of the actual global death toll by the end of 2021, according to an analysis by the Association of Health Analysts. Published in The Lancet.

They have calculated the number of “excess deaths” caused directly or indirectly by the infection. These are calculated by looking at the difference between the number of recorded deaths from all causes and the expected number based on previous patterns.

“Our estimates of the high mortality rate of Govt-19 are far more devastating than the situation documented by official statistics,” say co-authors led by Associate Professor Dr. Haidang Wang. Science of Health Measurements at the University of Washington.

“Official statistics on Covid-19 deaths provide only a fraction of the actual burden of death, although the official Covid-19 death toll was 5.9 million between 1 January 2020 and 31 December 2021, the new study estimates, with an additional 18.2 million deaths over the same period.” Suggests the impact could have been greater.

The research is based on what Wang and his colleagues say were the first reviewed estimates of epidemic deaths in 191 countries and regions.

Previous research in Sweden and the Netherlands found that Covit-19 was the direct cause of most of the deaths there.

If their estimate is correct, “Govt-19 epidemic has the highest mortality rate of all ages worldwide at 120.2 deaths per 100,000 population and [the] The highest mortality rate is over 300 deaths per 100,000 population in 21 countries.

Worldwide, the highest death rates are in South Asia (5.3 m), North Africa and the Middle East (1.7 m) and Eastern Europe (1.4 m).

According to the findings, the highest number of deaths due to Govt-19 in India is 4.07m, more than anywhere else in the whole world. It is followed by the United States (1.13m), Russia (1.07m), Mexico (798,000), Brazil (792,000), Indonesia (736,000) and Pakistan (664,000).

For the UK, the report’s estimated high cov’t deaths (163,000 to 174,000) are close to the reported 173,000.

Bolivia (734.9), Bulgaria (647.3), Eswatini (634.9), northern Macedonia (583.6) and Lesotho (562.9) have the highest death rates per 100,000.

The authors argue that the differences between the official statistics for covit-related deaths and the researchers’ estimates may be due to a lack of testing, challenges in reporting such deaths, or inability to access health care due to disruption of epidemiological services. That gap is the largest in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa.

They developed a statistical model to measure excess mortality in countries where death data for all causes are not available, which helped generate 18.2 million deaths. They also excluded weeks of heat waves so as not to bend the figures.

“One of the key findings of our study is that the total number of deaths due to infection exceeds the Govt-19 mortality rate,” Wang said. “Our analysis would not be possible without immediate reporting of all causes of death on a weekly / monthly basis from many countries. This information is important in assessing the disease burden and the state of population health in any country.

Precise “overcoming political barriers [death] The Lancet Paper argues that reporting is necessary in the countries where they exist to track the actual number of deaths from future epidemics.

“However, many countries still do not have a core function [deaths] Registration system. What happened during the epidemics demonstrated the need for civil and major registration systems and disease monitoring systems.

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